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A
while back, I received several emails from readers wanting to know
if they should short the crude oil market because of its lofty price
levels. I responded that I don't give specific trading
recommendations, but I certainly do want to help my readers succeed
at the difficult task of trading futures markets. Given the sharp
runup in crude at the time, and the rising volatility of the grain
futures during that same timeframe, it was a good time to discuss
trading options on futures--specifically buying puts and calls. You
can also sell options, but your financial risk is not limited like
it is when you buy an option. I won't get into selling options in
this feature.
I
know that many beginning (and even veteran) traders think options
trading is too complicated, and they don't have a clue about the
vega, theta, delta and gamma pricing formulas--or the strangles,
straddles, butterflies and other such options trading methods. Well,
don't worry. I'm not going to get into those complex strategies in
this column.
Entire
books have been written on options and options trading strategies,
but I will only focus on basic low-risk and limited-risk trading
strategies for beginning traders (and veterans, too). I'll also talk
about using options to "hedge" winning trading positions
in volatile markets. I do suggest that if you are interested in
trading options, you should read a book or two on options trading.
Again, you don't have to be a rocket scientist to employ simple
options trading strategies.
First,
I am going to assume readers know the definition of an option on a
futures contract, and also the difference between a put option and a
call option and "in the money" and "out of the
money." (If you don't know the meaning of these terms, that's
okay. Just go to one of the big futures exchange websites, and you
can find a glossary of trading terms, digest the options terms and
then read this article.)
Back
to the big runup in crude oil recently. It certainly is tempting to
want to short that market at present levels. However, remember that
to successfully trade futures you not only have to be right on
market direction, you also have to be correct on the timing of the
market move. Furthermore, you can be right on market direction and
very close to being right on timing the trade, but still lose your
trading assets because of market volatility. In crude oil, for
example, a trader could establish a short position two days before
the top in the market is in, and still be stopped out and lose his
trading assets because of the high volatility.
Purchasing
options allows you to limit your financial risk and let's you ride
out volatile market swings without the worry of increased margin
calls.
Buying
a put or call that is out-of-the money is a good, inexpensive way to
wade into futures trading. The money the trader lays out to his
broker for the option purchase is all the trader has to worry about
losing. No margin money. No margin calls. He can sleep well at
night. And he is still trading futures, learning the business,
honing his trading skills.
Here's
another trading tactic to think about regarding purchasing options
in volatile markets. Just because you have a buy or sell stop in
place, that does not guarantee you will get out of the market
(filled) close to your stop. For example, weather markets in the
grains and soybean complex futures often produce limit price
moves--sometimes for two or more sessions in a row. If you have a
straight trading position on in soybeans and the market moves
against you by the limit, or multiple limits, your protective stop
is virtually worthless. But if you had hedged your straight futures
position with a cheap out-of-the-money option purchase, you have
limited risk in a volatile market. Let's say you are long soybeans
at $5.00 in a very volatile market. You may initiate that trade on
the long side, but then purchase a $4.50 put option that limits your
trading risk to 50 cents a bushel ($2,500 per contract). The
trade-off here is that you are gaining peace of mind and losing some
profit potential. But for many, that's well worth it. You can stay
in the game to trade again another day, and not get wiped out by a
limit price move.
Jim Wyckoff is the chief technical and market analyst for FutureSource.
Phone: 319.277.8643
Email: jim@jimwyckoff.com
Website: www.jimwychoff.com |