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A
trader emailed me this week, asking for some advice on a good money
manager for him. He said he was a "lousy trader" and tired
of losing money.
I
doubt there is one non-rookie trader reading this story who has not
experienced at least a small run of poor performance in trading
futures. I've said before that most successful veteran traders have
more losing trades than winning trades in any given year. The key is
maximizing profits on the winning trades and minimizing losses on
the losers.
I
will also argue that at one point or another in most traders'
experiences, they, too, have felt like "lousy traders." I
certainly have. (Those who say they have never had a run of poor
trading performance and felt "lousy" about a trade or
trades are likely either lying or completely out of touch with
futures trading reality.)
So
what's a trader to do when losses start to pile up and winners
become scarce. Here are a few tips that I've picked up over the
years from some of the very best traders in the business:
-
Don't
overtrade. If you are trading several markets and not having any
success, cut back to trading one or two markets. You can follow
fewer trades more closely and document your success or failures
more easily. Plus, your trading account won't be drawn down so
quickly.
-
Keep
a detailed trading diary. If you keep a good trading diary, you
can go back and see if there is a common thread among your
losers--and your winners, and possibly make the proper
adjustments.
-
If
you are not trading that many markets and still racking up
losers, take a break from trading for a while. Gather your
thoughts. You may want to "paper trade" for a while to
get your confidence back. Then, if you are still losing on
paper, you will want to look for other trading methods.
-
If
you are losing money trading, DO NOT (I REPEAT) DO NOT try to
make a big home-run-type trade that will get you back to even or
the plus side in a hurry. In fact, do just the opposite. Make
smaller trades that risk less capital, until your performance
starts to turn around and you can resume your normal asset
allowances for trades. Successful traders survive the rough
waters by hunkering down and being conservative.
-
Exhibit
patience and discipline. I've preached about this before. Are
you following a trading plan that you devised before you put on
the trade? If not, you should be. You are not shooting from the
hip (no exit strategy in place) once a trade gets initiated, are
you? If so, that could be part of your problem. On the patience
issue, are you impatient? I've talked to successful position
traders who may only trade a few times a year, because they wait
for what they feel is that "perfect set-up" to occur.
If you are a position trader (as opposed to a day trader), you
don't have to be "in the market" all the time. Wait
for the good trades to develop and don't chase markets.
-
Be
confident. Have faith in your trading methods. And if you don't
have faith in your methodology, why don't you? If your methods
are really not successful, find something else. Read some of the
many books out there by the successful traders, and how they
have traded successfully. But be cautious of the person who
wants to sell you some so-called successful trading method for
big bucks. (See the next item on hard work.)
-
Work
harder. Don't expect to produce winning trades if you are not
working very hard at trading. Do you know well the fundamentals
of the markets you are trading? Even if you know technicals
well, you should have at least a good understanding of a
market's fundamentals. Here's an example: Let's say the charts
and technical indicators look bullish for corn and it's the day
before a major USDA report. Smart traders likely won't initiate
a trading position in corn the day before a big government
report is out.
In
case you're wondering what I told the reader who emailed me and told
me was a "lousy" trader, here's what I said: Don't give up
just yet. The fact that he admitted he needed some help (before he
lost all of his trading assets) is a positive first step. I then
told him I would write this feature because there were likely many
traders who feel the same way, at times, that he feels, and that
there are steps to take on the road to recovery and eventual
successful trading.
Jim Wyckoff is the chief technical and market analyst for FutureSource.
Phone: 319.277.8643
Email: jim@jimwyckoff.com
Website: www.jimwychoff.com |