A
lot of email has come in from readers asking me how to improve upon
"pulling the trigger" to enter a trade. How many traders
out there have ever pondered a potential trade for so long that once
they actually got ready to execute it, they then got cold feet due
to concern they had missed the move?
Some
traders are reluctant to put on a position because they are torn
between what they perceive as conflicting market factors. Here's a
typical quote from such a trader: "The moving averages are
positive, the market is trending higher, but the RSI shows the
market as being way overbought. What should I do?"
A
"Trading Checklist" of prioritized criteria not only will
help you decide when to execute a trade, but will also help you
identify potential winning trades. You'd be surprised how a visual
checklist can resolve uncertainty in your mind.
What
kind of stuff should a trader put on a Trading Checklist? That
depends on the individual trader. Each trader should have his or her
own set of criteria that helps determine a market to trade and the
direction to trade it--including when to get in.
(As
an aside, I like to compare my trading criteria to a bunch of tools
in a toolbox. The more tools I have at my disposal, the better.
Also, there are different tools for different tasks. However, there
are some basic tools that I think are more important than the others
and that are a must for the toolbox.
In
trading terms, the more you know about chart patterns, technical
indicators, fundamental factors, etc., the more tools you will have
in your "trading toolbox" and at your disposal when
trading the markets.)
Back
to the checklist: You'll want to put your most important trading
tools on the checklist, and in order of importance.
At
the top of my Trading Checklist is: "Are daily, weekly and
monthly bar charts in agreement?" A very important position-
trading tenet for me is that shorter-term and longer-term charts
must agree on the trend of the market. If the daily and weekly
charts are bullish, but the monthly is bearish, there's a good
chance I'll pass on the trading opportunity.
So
if my very first (and most important) objective on my Trading
Checklist is not met, then I really don't need to go any farther
down the list. I'll look for another trading opportunity.
However,
if the last item (least important) on your Trading Checklist does
not meet your objective, but the big majority of the other
objectives on your list are met, then you may make the trade anyway.
It's entirely possible that all of your trading tools on the list
may not give you the proper signal to trade the market, but it's
still a good trading opportunity.
Every
trader should have at least a few trading "tools" that
help determine a trading opportunity. Listing those tools on paper,
in order of importance, and then examining that list when deciding
each trade should make easier the sometimes difficult task of
"pulling the trigger."
Jim Wyckoff is the chief technical and market analyst for FutureSource.
Phone: 319.277.8643
Email: jim@jimwyckoff.com
Website: www.jimwychoff.com |